Analytics
Yes is at 21.5%, down 4 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 10 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 25.5% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 22 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 24.5%.
Draw (NK Celje vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg) ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “NK Celje vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg”. FC Red Bull Salzburg leads at 63.5%; NK Celje is at 15.5%.
$1.43K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.46K since listing. The order book holds $110.06K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is NM-P with 430 shares; the largest No position is Thankful-Rostrum-Gig with 782. Ten wallets hold 91.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 22 Oct 2026, tomorrow.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 1:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 25.5% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 21.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thankful-Rostrum-Gig | No | 782.28 |
| NM-P | Yes | 430 |
| Cannae | Yes | 244.95 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 22, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uel-cel2-rbs-2026-10-22
| Cosmic Kestrel DE4F |
| No |
| 238.75 |
| Lonely-Prince | Yes | 200 |
| GC-P | Yes | 142.72 |
| TheRomanProcurator | Yes | 76.64 |
| ahms | Yes | 56.27 |
| justanogdataguy | No | 50 |
| UpTheBlues | Yes | 49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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