Analytics
Resolved Over on 22 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Over at 49.5%. The Over side opened at 50% on 10 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 47% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 47% on 20 Oct 2026. $1.4K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 23, 7:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 10 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Meteor FBA6 | Under | 104.17 |
| TheRomanProcurator | Under | 47.81 |
| poshposh | Under | 15.66 |
| Eazy8 | Under | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between AFC Bournemouth and AC Milan, scheduled for October 22 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if AFC Bournemouth score 2 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If AFC Bournemouth score less than 2 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on AFC Bournemouth's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uel-bou-mil1-2026-10-22-more-markets
| UpTheBlues | Under | 5 |
| benjithegreat | Under | 5 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Under | 2.08 |
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