Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 7 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 19.5% on 15 Mar 2026 and the low 0.1% on 20 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 0.1% on 20 Mar 2026.
95 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 21, 1:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 7 Mar 2026 – 20 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | 16.5% |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JhonAlexanderHinestroza | Yes | 8.06K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.85K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 3.06K |
| XINLU22 | Yes | 1.96K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 1.12K |
| xpr | Yes | 1.05K |
| uvcxff | Yes | 712.98 |
| tAir7 | Yes | 700 |
| Misty Horizon A7C6 | Yes | 624.74 |
| estrume | Yes | 500 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Thursday, March 19, 2026 between Aston Villa FC and Lille OSC.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uel-ast4-lil-2026-03-19
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