
Resolved Portugal on 4 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Portugal at 34%. The Germany side opened at 64.5% on 28 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 69 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2025 to 4 Jun 2025, the highest close was 74% on 30 Mar 2025 and the lowest 64.5% on 28 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points up, to 74% on 30 Mar 2025. $306.82K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 6, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Germany price, Polymarket CLOB, 69 points, 28 Mar 2025 – 4 Jun 2025, chart shows 60%–80%
| Observed | Germany price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2025 | 64.5% |
| 4 Jun 2025 | 66.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sniffingground | Germany | 14.54K |
| Indolent-Roar | Germany | 4K |
| Emerald Falcon A4EC | Germany | 580 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the UEFA Nations League Semifinal match between Germany and Portugal. If Germany advances to the next round of the UEFA Nations League, this market will resolve to "Germany". If Portugal advances to the next round of the UEFA Nations League, this market will resolve to "Portugal". If the match is canceled or postponed beyond December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA Nations League.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-germany-vs-portugal-to-advance
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