Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 51.5% on 24 Oct 2025 and the low 7% on 2 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 30.5% on 31 Oct 2025. $12.9K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 26 points · 21 Oct 2025 – 15 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 15 Nov 2025 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.89K |
| Alexrak | Yes | 1.54K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.04K |
| wadell | Yes | 1K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 863 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 262.03 |
| nzone | Yes | 175 |
| bettingnba1 | Yes | 137.5 |
| odavila131216 | Yes | 125 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 120 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Saturday, November 15, 2025 between Türkiye and Bulgaria.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-tur-bul-2025-11-15
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