Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 15 Nov 2025, the highest close was 50.5% on 26 Oct 2025 and the lowest 2.8% on 2 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 26.5% on 31 Oct 2025. $71.64K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 15 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 15 Nov 2025 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xfile | Yes | 17.16K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.89K |
| Reliable-Provider | Yes | 1.11K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 866 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Saturday, November 15, 2025 between Türkiye and Bulgaria.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-tur-bul-2025-11-15
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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