
Resolved No on 14 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 53.5% on 10 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 14 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 19.5% on 11 Oct 2025. $9K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 14 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 48.5% |
| 14 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.13K |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 1.64K |
| philostam | Yes | 180 |
| Wanted.ua | Yes | 50 |
| Big-fly | Yes | 40 |
| Cluttered-Variable | Yes | 10 |
| Dannyzz | Yes | 9 |
| dflupo | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Monday, October 13, 2025 between Slovakia and Luxembourg.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-svk-lux-2025-10-13
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