Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 51% on 4 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2025 to 6 Sep 2025, the highest close was 51% on 4 Sep 2025 and the lowest 7% on 6 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 7% on 6 Sep 2025. $24.58K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Sep 2025 – 6 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2025 | 51.0% |
| 6 Sep 2025 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.87K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.55K |
| 0010001000001100 | Yes | 1.39K |
| divideetempire | Yes | 290 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Saturday, September 6, 2025 between San Marino and Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-smr-bih-2025-09-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 207 |
| Jade Falcon 2704 | Yes | 200.05 |
| 250119 | Yes | 116.49 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 104 |
| aunit | Yes | 70.88 |
| JoE | Yes | 55.17 |
