Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 12 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 45.5%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 54.5% on 12 Oct 2025 and the low 44.5% on 9 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 51.5% on 10 Oct 2025. $60.45K traded over the market's life.
114 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 12 Oct 2025, chart shows 40%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 46.5% |
| 12 Oct 2025 | 54.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Knowing-Powder | Yes | 1.35K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.3K |
| Jade Falcon 2704 | Yes | 1K |
| Alexrak | Yes | 879.02 |
| Kbr | Yes | 777 |
| smurfichek | Yes | 454.55 |
| riccopong | Yes | 243.18 |
| nzone | Yes | 200 |
| misty1967 | Yes | 193.48 |
| Hexymalist | Yes | 181.82 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Sunday, October 12, 2025 between Romania and Austria.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-rom-aut-2025-10-12
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