Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 14 Nov 2025, the highest close was 100% on 14 Nov 2025 and the lowest 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 76% on 31 Oct 2025. $296.6K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 14 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mafi7al | No | 14.98K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.6K |
| czjeczka | No | 8K |
| SuperMikel | No | 1.75K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Thursday, November 13, 2025 between Moldova and Italy.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-mol-ita-2025-11-13
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.63K |
| nzone | No | 1.62K |
| Ironclad-Mission | No | 1.51K |
| Katttt | No | 1.13K |
| Marcus177 | No | 1.06K |
| FragMalDenRalle | No | 926.72 |
