Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76.5%. Yes opened at 39% on 4 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 39% on 4 Sep 2025 and the low 23.5% on 5 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 23.5% on 5 Sep 2025. $3.93K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 4 Sep 2025 – 5 Sep 2025 · axis zoomed to 20%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2025 | 39.0% |
| 5 Sep 2025 | 23.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 2.79K |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 199 |
| oc1 | Yes | 140 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 112.53 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 107 |
| Javi911 | Yes | 8 |
| Superb-Doctor | Yes | 4.17 |
| hoodl69 | Yes | 3.85 |
| elalinea | Yes | 3.85 |
| Marcus177 | No | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 5, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-mol-isr-2025-09-05
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