Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.5%. Yes opened at 12% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 12% on 8 Oct 2025 and the low 8.5% on 9 Oct 2025. $16.76K traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 8 Oct 2025 – 12 Oct 2025 · axis zoomed to 4%–16%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 12.0% |
| 12 Oct 2025 | 10.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 4.05K |
| franzmorgan | Yes | 1K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 827.25 |
| Fat-Reversal | Yes | 769.62 |
| senchi | Yes | 227.27 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 211.01 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 209 |
| Xmr | Yes | 200 |
| Firm-Genie | Yes | 120 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 107 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Sunday, October 12, 2025 between Lithuania and Poland.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-lit-pol-2025-10-12
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