
Resolved No on 31 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.5%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 31 Mar 2026, the highest close was 26.5% on 31 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 28 Mar 2026. $117.04K traded over the market's life.
76 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 31 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 25.5% |
| 31 Mar 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 34.92K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.41K |
| Etk | Yes | 2.18K |
| Jfkbxbs | Yes | 1.35K |
| Bold Meteor 7B47 | Yes | 970.03 |
| Richforever69 | Yes | 634.58 |
| Ekokekosuu | Yes | 561.24 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Themegaman | Yes | 349.43 |
| Misty Voyager 68EE | Yes | 291.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 between Kosovo and Türkiye.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-kvx-tur-2026-03-31
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