Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 21.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 16 Nov 2025, the highest close was 51% on 29 Oct 2025 and the lowest 21% on 15 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 22% on 13 Nov 2025. $105.8K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 16 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.17K |
| ReiToto | No | 2.53K |
| Simbaaaa | No | 1.58K |
| plantbloom | No | 1.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Sunday, November 16, 2025 between Hungary and Republic of Ireland.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-hun-ire-2025-11-16
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| EVplusrebate | No | 999.97 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 885 |
| bytradingus | No | 389.61 |
| nzone | No | 381 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 380 |
| Pungent-Buckle | No | 341.72 |
