
Resolved No on 8 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2025 to 8 Sep 2025, the highest close was 52.5% on 5 Sep 2025 and the lowest 6% on 7 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 6% on 7 Sep 2025. $7.27K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 4 Sep 2025 – 8 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2025 | 50.0% |
| 8 Sep 2025 | 6.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.61K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 999 |
| Wanted.ua | Yes | 285.71 |
| formidable2458 | Yes | 205.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Monday, September 8, 2025 between Croatia and Montenegro.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-hrv-mon-2025-09-08
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| eWwarz | Yes | 76.29 |
| Mesi | Yes | 57.14 |
| Buzzing-Ice | Yes | 42.86 |
| Fair-Dialogue | Yes | 14.29 |