
Resolved No on 12 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.6%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 12 Oct 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 8 Oct 2025 and the lowest 1.1% on 11 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 1.6% on 9 Oct 2025. $42.7K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 12 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 48.5% |
| 12 Oct 2025 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.38K |
| pablovsky | Yes | 1.67K |
| Fearless-Wrench | Yes | 1.33K |
| Reubz. | Yes | 1.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Sunday, October 12, 2025 between Croatia and Gibraltar.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-hrv-gib-2025-10-12
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