Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 22%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 14 Nov 2025, the highest close was 80.5% on 8 Nov 2025 and the lowest 46% on 6 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 80% on 7 Nov 2025. $429.65K traded over the market's life.
287 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 14 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| seample | Yes | 10.08K |
| Spanish-Clasp | Yes | 4K |
| Crackerjoe | Yes | 3.46K |
| Cole.Palmer | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Friday, November 14, 2025 between Finland and Malta.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-fin-mal-2025-11-14
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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| megumifushiguro | Yes | 1.15K |
