Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 63.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 13 Nov 2025, the highest close was 63.5% on 12 Nov 2025 and the lowest 45.5% on 30 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 57.5% on 31 Oct 2025. $711.45K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 13 Nov 2025, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | 63.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SpartanWar | No | 150K |
| mafi7al | No | 10K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 8.33K |
| Fat-Reversal | No | 8.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Thursday, November 13, 2025 between Azerbaijan and Iceland.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-aze-isl-2025-11-13
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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