Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 16 Nov 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 24 Oct 2025 and the lowest 8.5% on 13 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 27.5% on 5 Nov 2025. $26.27K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 16 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 9.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.02K |
| wadell | Yes | 999.91 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 904 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 644 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Sunday, November 16, 2025 between Azerbaijan and France.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-aze-fra-2025-11-16
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 372 |
| BlindOrangutan | Yes | 352.8 |
| highsenberg | Yes | 275.34 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 251.25 |
| Clueless-Facsimile | Yes | 250.01 |
| Txapela | Yes | 250 |
