Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 0.8% on 8 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 8 Oct 2025 to 9 Oct 2025, the price held at 0.8%. $58.88K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Oct 2025 – 9 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | 0.8% |
| 9 Oct 2025 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.15K |
| xfile | Yes | 8.08K |
| Lanky-Entity | Yes | 2.77K |
| GodDGK | Yes | 1.48K |
| Spectre1 | Yes | 1K |
| DEX21 | Yes | 529.43 |
| SandwichCheese | Yes | 500 |
| Vague-Surfboard | Yes | 264.48 |
| IPhone | Yes | 184 |
| manishgoyal | Yes | 175.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Thursday, October 9, 2025 between Austria and San Marino.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-aut-smr-2025-10-09
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