Analytics
Resolved No on 13 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 21 Oct 2025 and the low 14% on 5 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 33% on 31 Oct 2025. $84.51K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 24 points · 21 Oct 2025 – 13 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 13 Nov 2025 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SpartanWar | Yes | 11.69K |
| Qingyanlong | Yes | 2K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.68K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.48K |
| aaa.777 | Yes | 1K |
| wadell | Yes | 999.99 |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 615.38 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 542 |
| slappy99 | Yes | 500 |
| Robyy13 | Yes | 400 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Thursday, November 13, 2025 between Armenia and Hungary.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-arm-hun-2025-11-13
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
