Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 61% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 67% on 20 Jan 2026 and the low 0.1% on 21 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 67 points down, to 0.1% on 21 Jan 2026. $6.2M traded over the market's life.
168 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 21 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 61.0% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 25.13K |
| IAmHomelessNow | Yes | 8.4K |
| AlabasterDisaster | Yes | 7.37K |
| clouder | Yes | 5K |
| LaBefana | Yes | 4.42K |
| darthstpn | Yes | 3.3K |
| Cannae | Yes | 2.84K |
| twoplustwo | Yes | 2.24K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.23K |
| Rabble99 | Yes | 1.52K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, January 20, 2026 between Villarreal CF and AFC Ajax.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-vil1-aja-2026-01-20
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