Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 22% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 22% on 8 Jan 2026 and the low 0.1% on 21 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 0.1% on 21 Jan 2026. $151.48K traded over the market's life.
102 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 22, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 21 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 22.0% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thematador | Yes | 50.67K |
| Cannae | Yes | 10.87K |
| Jade Falcon 2704 | Yes | 4K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.23K |
| nzone | Yes | 1.83K |
| robinvanpersie | Yes | 1.71K |
| roon49 | Yes | 1K |
| missa321 | Yes | 796.02 |
| foooool | Yes | 711.69 |
| Ironmankingdom | Yes | 571 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, January 20, 2026 between Villarreal CF and AFC Ajax.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-vil1-aja-2026-01-20
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