
Resolved No on 21 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 79%. Yes opened at 42.5% on 17 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 42.5% on 17 Jul 2026 and the low 20.5% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 24% on 18 Jul 2026. $38.75K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 22, 7:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 21 Jul 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 42.5% |
| 21 Jul 2026 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank | Yes | 3.51K |
| TnomrealMot | Yes | 2.43K |
| Wars01 | Yes | 1.06K |
| Mindzen | Yes | 979.83 |
| LuckyLoo | Yes | 743 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 421.9 |
| Rossoneri27 | Yes | 272.73 |
| sr177777 | Yes | 100 |
| Justin333333 | Yes | 79.62 |
| PBot-10 | Yes | 54.03 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 21, 2026 between SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz and Heart of Midlothian FC.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-stu1-hmi-2026-07-21
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