Analytics
Resolved Over on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Over at 78%. The Over side opened at 50.5% on 8 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 78% on 20 Oct 2026 and the low 50.5% on 8 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 76% on 15 Oct 2026. $9.89K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 6:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 8 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Ledger DA72 | Under | 4.51K |
| UpTheBlues | Under | 511.85 |
| llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll | Under | 53.19 |
| mateushuti | Under | 41.67 |
| cigarettes | Under | 20.89 |
| Myfatherissick | Under | 17.01 |
| Cleomar35 | Under | 14.28 |
| renatolima0502 | Under | 10.86 |
| Whirlwind-Cooking | Under | 10 |
| Thirsty-Breakpoint | Under | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between VfB Stuttgart and Club Atlético de Madrid, scheduled for October 20 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if VfB Stuttgart and Club Atlético de Madrid combine to score 1 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 1 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-stu-atm-2026-10-20-more-markets
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