Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 7 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 27 Mar 2026 and the lowest 10% on 2 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 10% on 2 Apr 2026. $473.78 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 8, 8:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 7 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 46.5% |
| 7 Apr 2026 | 11.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 245.25 |
| Mmmmmf | Yes | 40.57 |
| beggar420 | Yes | 19.73 |
| Rocks3 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Sporting CP and Arsenal FC, scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC match originally scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-spo1-ars-2026-04-07-exact-score
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 5.05 |
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