Analytics
Yes is at 49%, down 4.5 points from 53.5% when the market opened on 21 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49% on 23 Oct 2026.
Sporting CP is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP”, ahead of FK Shakhtar Donetsk at 27.5%.
$533.08 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.69K since listing. The order book holds $9.39K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 24 trades, $497.63 bought Yes and $264.75 bought No.
The largest Yes position is VeryLucky888 with 498 shares; the largest No position is Flaznorp with 427. Ten wallets hold 98.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 12 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 3:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 21 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2026 | 53.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 49.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky888 | Yes | 498.04 |
| Flaznorp | No | 426.8 |
| Viacheslav92 | No | 297.01 |
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 3, 2026 If Sporting CP wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-shd-spo-2026-11-03
| Gaditima |
| Yes |
| 252.22 |
| BlackMamba08 | No | 78.06 |
| Bold Quasar 73FB | Yes | 62.29 |
| Plain-Hazel-Suffocation | No | 10.78 |
| de4th.to.russian.invaders | Yes | 6.29 |
| inez6 | No | 6 |
| Royal Horizon 8064 | Yes | 5.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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