
Resolved Over on 14 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Over at 31%. The Over side opened at 50% on 1 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 3 Jul 2026 and the low 28% on 12 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 42.5% on 4 Jul 2026. $4.43K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 6:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 1 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 31.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnakeBall | Under | 159.77 |
| Early-Extent | Under | 100 |
| pxxp | Under | 61.2 |
| alexlr20 | Under | 29 |
| difraxion001 | Under | 24.39 |
| zhiber | Under | 20 |
| triklozoid | Under | 14.99 |
| jackccstream | Under | 11.16 |
| Negyedikaccount | Under | 10 |
| fedcutdecision | Under | 7.04 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA, scheduled for July 14 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Rīga FC and Ararat-Armenia FA combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-rfc-a-a-2026-07-14-more-markets
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page