Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88%. Yes opened at 12% on 5 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 5 Feb 2026 to 17 Feb 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 14.5% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 12 Feb 2026. $440.89K traded over the market's life.
203 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 20, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 5 Feb 2026 – 17 Feb 2026, chart shows 8%–18%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | 12.0% |
| 17 Feb 2026 | 12.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright-Caution | Yes | 51.52K |
| Cannae | Yes | 8.49K |
| Mk98 | Yes | 8.25K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 6.06K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, February 18, 2026 between Qarabağ Ağdam FK and Newcastle United FC.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-qar1-new-2026-02-18
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Rich-Map | Yes | 5.7K |
| Shabby-Pollutant | Yes | 5.58K |
| estrume | Yes | 5.56K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.15K |
| Trifling-Door | Yes | 3K |
| RollsRoycsUmbrella | Yes | 2.72K |
