
Resolved No on 5 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 27 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2025 to 5 Mar 2025, the highest close was 26% on 2 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 0.1% on 5 Mar 2025. $93.42K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 6, 12:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 27 Feb 2025 – 5 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2025 | 25.5% |
| 5 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.11K |
| friendlyrobot | Yes | 488.1 |
| Dragonbor | Yes | 68.18 |
| sixfeetwonder | Yes | 37.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for March 4 at 3:00PM ET between PSV Eindhoven and Arsenal.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-psv-ars-2025-03-04
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| dav848 | Yes | 21.28 |
| macss | Yes | 20.83 |
| PeterLustig | Yes | 6.08 |