Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 17 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 17 Apr 2026 to 28 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 30% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 19.5% on 21 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 19.5% on 21 Apr 2026. $14.85K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 29, 9:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 17 Apr 2026 – 28 Apr 2026, chart shows 15%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2026 | 21.5% |
| 28 Apr 2026 | 30.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Shonv1111 | Yes | 880.03 |
| Nomme204 | Yes | 493.5 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 322.76 |
| mangguov55 | Yes | 304.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 28, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-psg1-bay1-2026-04-28-halftime-result
| Studious-Floozie | Yes | 296.21 |
| zhuxuetao1 | Yes | 234.69 |
| bruddell | Yes | 125 |
| Incomplete-Culture | Yes | 111.11 |
| demirkubuz | Yes | 103.69 |
| Uncommon-Fallacy | Yes | 62.5 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
