
Resolved No on 19 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 6 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 6 Feb 2026 to 19 Feb 2026, the highest close was 28.5% on 6 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 0.1% on 19 Feb 2026. $104.91K traded over the market's life.
102 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 20, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 6 Feb 2026 – 19 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | 28.5% |
| 19 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | Yes | 6.99K |
| tambienniaola | Yes | 3.38K |
| Etk | Yes | 3.27K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.18K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Wednesday, February 18, 2026 between Olympiakós SFP and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-oly-lev2-2026-02-18
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| Aged-Pacemaker | Yes | 1.22K |
| estrume | Yes | 1K |
| HERO97 | Yes | 1K |
| DT9 | Yes | 517.24 |
| adose | Yes | 437.5 |
| Youngmantryinghisbest | Yes | 344.83 |