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Paper trading
Resolved No on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 65% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 67.5% on 17 Mar 2026 and the low 0.1% on 18 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 67 points down, to 0.1% on 18 Mar 2026.
523 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 18 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 65.0% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gransaaa | Yes | 206K |
| NorthBalticMan9 | Yes | 88.27K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 86.21K |
| Painfulvoid | Yes | 83.28K |
| therighteousdog | Yes | 59.85K |
| c4c4 | Yes | 53.68K |
| sebasmid | Yes | 50K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 23.82K |
| Cannae | Yes | 19.15K |
| jizzbucket57 | Yes | 16K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 17, 2026 between Manchester City FC and Real Madrid CF.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-mnc1-rma1-2026-03-17
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