
Resolved Yes on 30 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90%. Yes opened at 88% on 25 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 25 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2025, the highest close was 90% on 30 Sep 2025 and the lowest 88% on 25 Sep 2025. $1.59M traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 25 Sep 2025 – 30 Sep 2025, chart shows 84%–94%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2025 | 88.0% |
| 30 Sep 2025 | 90.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| woshitiancai | No | 10.9K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10K |
| SpartanWar | No | 3.21K |
| Y.R | No | 3.08K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | No | 3.05K |
| Johnny8886 | No | 3K |
| awaokipo | No | 1.48K |
| patatrac | No | 1K |
| FragMalDenRalle | No | 1K |
| MarenBabkiZvonyatSrazySdvyhLinii | No | 900 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for September 30 at 12:45PM ET, If Real Madrid wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Real Madrid loses, this market will resolve to “No”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-kay-rma-2025-09-30
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