Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 81.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 26 Nov 2025 to 9 Dec 2025, the highest close was 81.5% on 9 Dec 2025 and the lowest 44% on 27 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 78% on 28 Nov 2025. $2.29M traded over the market's life.
104 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 11, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 26 Nov 2025 – 9 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 | 50.0% |
| 9 Dec 2025 | 81.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DrPufferfish | No | 217.59K |
| knedloveprovelo | No | 28.93K |
| Roro77 | No | 7.01K |
| theyseemeloosintheyhatin | No | 5.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for December 9, 2025 If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-bay-spo-2025-12-09
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| SemyonMarmeladov | No | 4.94K |
| triplemergexr | No | 4.19K |
| f3arless | No | 3.2K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | No | 2.05K |
| KFHFHJ | No | 2K |
| mafi7al | No | 1.97K |
