
Resolved No on 11 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 28 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2026 to 11 Mar 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 28 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 0.1% on 11 Mar 2026.
174 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 12, 12:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 28 Feb 2026 – 11 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | 22.5% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 6.03K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.47K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 3.7K |
| Shabby-Pollutant | Yes | 2.71K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 10, 2026 between Atalanta BC and FC Bayern München.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-ata1-bay1-2026-03-10
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