Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 27.5% on 24 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 24 Apr 2025 to 30 Apr 2025, the highest close was 28% on 25 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 0.1% on 30 Apr 2025. $86K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 24 Apr 2025 – 30 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2025 | 27.5% |
| 30 Apr 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.87K |
| Neon Lynx DB66 | Yes | 965 |
| Lean-Trapezium | Yes | 693.1 |
| Crimson Scout 471C | Yes | 645 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming UCL game, scheduled for April 29 at 3:00PM ET, If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If not, this market will resolve to “No”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-ars-psg-2025-04-29
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Azure Meteor AC50 | Yes | 595 |
| Misty Maven 5942 | Yes | 575 |
| Emerald Meteor 8995 | Yes | 550 |
| Neon Kestrel 4C2C | Yes | 490 |
| Crimson Beacon 75A4 | Yes | 445 |
| Royal Quasar D982 | Yes | 390 |
