Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.5%. Yes opened at 9% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 9% on 17 Mar 2026 and the low 6.5% on 18 Mar 2026. $145.22 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 12:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 17 Mar 2026 – 18 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 2%–14%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 9.0% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 6.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| human.bean | Yes | 30 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 30 |
| Violet Summit E2BF | Yes | 11.16 |
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Arsenal FC and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for March 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen match originally scheduled for March 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-ars-lev-2026-03-17-exact-score
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