Analytics
Resolved Under on 4 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Under at 57.5%. The Over side opened at 42% on 31 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 1 Aug 2026 and the low 42% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 52.5% on 1 Aug 2026. $172.99 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 5:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 31 Jul 2026 – 4 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 35%–55%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 42.0% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Ararat-Armenia FA and NK Celje, scheduled for August 4 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Ararat-Armenia FA and NK Celje combine to score 2 or more goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the combined second-half total is less than 2 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution source: https://www.uefa.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ucl-a-a-cel1-2026-08-04-more-markets
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