Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 98.8% on 13 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 99.7% on 16 Sep 2025 and the low 98.8% on 13 Sep 2025. $193.42K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 18, 12:48 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 13 Sep 2025 – 16 Sep 2025 · axis zoomed to 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | 98.8% |
| 16 Sep 2025 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Paul8x1 | No | 15K |
| siego237 | No | 5.17K |
| Bankroller85 | No | 4.69K |
| ioiawf | No | 3.85K |
| Slimy-Whirlpool | No | 2.5K |
| tdmtcorp | No | 1.83K |
| Pac888 | No | 882.35 |
| WetCheetos | No | 714.29 |
| realdomecek | No | 666.67 |
| Meager-Twister | No | 402.35 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any state or federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Tyler Robinson in connection to the assassination of Charlie Kirk by October 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tyler-robinson-charged-in-kirk-shooting
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