Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 9 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 17% on 10 Apr 2025 and the low 1.6% on 15 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 4% on 12 Apr 2025. $3.84K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 9 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2025 | 14.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GayPride | Yes | 500 |
| Thalathat-Wathalathun | No | 0.03 |
| JDULIA | No | 0.02 |
| NiGriMa671 | No | 0.02 |
| SuARas | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Turkey announces that they are occupying/using the Tiyas Military Airbase (T4) or the Hama Military Airbase in Syria for military by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence confirming that Turkish military is occupying the base will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the Turkish government and military however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/turkish-airbase-in-syria-before-may
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