Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 24 May 2023. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 24 May 2023 to 1 Jun 2023, the highest close was 44.5% on 28 May 2023 and the lowest 1% on 30 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 2% on 29 May 2023. $9.9K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 1, 5:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 24 May 2023 – 1 Jun 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 May 2023 | 37.5% |
| 1 Jun 2023 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Judicious-Tomatillo | Yes | 110 |
| Crazy-Swamp | Yes | 2.7 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the participation rate for the second round of the 2023 Turkish presidential election (scheduled to take place on May 28) including domestic, foreign, and customs votes is over 87%. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is exclusively about the participation rate for second round of the 2023 Turkish presidential election. If the figures are not known by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. For the purpose of resolving this market, the participation rate is the number of voters who voted (OY KULLANAN SECMEN SAYISI) divided by the number of voters who are registered to vote (KAYITLI SECMEN SAYISI). For example, if 45,000,000 voted out of the 60,000,000 registered to vote, the participation rate would be 45,000,000 / 60,000,000 = 0.75 which as a percentage is 75%. The participation rate % used to decide the market's resolution will be the unrounded percentage. E.g. if the percentage was 87.001483... the market would resolve to "Yes." Determination of the participation rate of this election will be based on official Turkish governmental sources, specifically the figure that includes domestic, foreign, and customs votes.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/turkish-2nd-round-turnout-over-87
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