Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 78%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 12 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 78% on 14 Jun 2026 and the low 47% on 13 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 78% on 14 Jun 2026. $1.36K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 15, 8:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 12 Jun 2026 – 14 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 50.5% |
| 14 Jun 2026 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 09F911029D74 | No | 200 |
| TENETENET | No | 82.75 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| adfytjrgf | No | 36.66 |
| Grandiose-Layer | No | 10 |
| wwder | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player takes the field as a member of Japan's official starting lineup for the first group stage game the nation plays at 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If a player is officially announced as part of the starting lineup but is replaced before the game begins for any reason, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". Only players that are on the pitch at kick off will be counted toward a "Yes" resolution. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of Japan's official 1st match starting lineup for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-player-to-be-in-japans-starting-11-20260609171453262
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