Analytics
Yes is at 89%, up 39 points from 50% when the market opened on 26 Sep 2026.
The high was 89% on 6 Oct 2026 and the low 50% on 26 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 79%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 80.5% on 27 Sep 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of October?”.
$89.07 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.32K, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Grassyip with 18 shares; the largest No position is grasstoucher69 with 18.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 25 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 6, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 12 points · 26 Sep 2026 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 89.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Grassyip | Yes | 17.65 |
| grasstoucher69 | No | 17.64 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tsla-above-in-october-2026
1 more market, none above 16.0%.
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