Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 82.5%. Yes opened at 97.5% on 4 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2024 to 6 Jun 2024, the highest close was 97.5% on 4 Jun 2024 and the lowest 82.5% on 6 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 82.5% on 6 Jun 2024. $27.36K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 7, 9:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Jun 2024 – 6 Jun 2024, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2024 | 97.5% |
| 6 Jun 2024 | 82.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mini111 | No | 57.11 |
| Alicebaby | No | 47.6 |
| haikukoten | No | 16.67 |
| DumplingBMF | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
On June 1, @realdonaldtrump made his first Tiktok post (see https://www.tiktok.com/@realdonaldtrump/video/7375744699140721963). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's first TikTok video reaches 100 million views by June 7, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the official view count for Trump's first Tiktok as displayed on Trump's TikTok account.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trumps-first-tiktok-100m-views-by-friday-june-7
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
