Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 21% on 27 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 190 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 21% on 27 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 31 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 15% on 28 Jun 2025. $60.21K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 190 points, 27 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2025 | 21.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 00000000AAAAAAAA | Yes | 999.98 |
| lunlovesyou | Yes | 789.49 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 563 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Ali Khamenei speak directly to one another between June 26, 7:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any conversation that occurs directly between Donald Trump and Ali Khamenei will qualify, regardless of whether it is over the phone, videocall, or in person. The conversation must be voice-based, not text-based. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the governments of Iran and the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-x-khamenei-talk-in-2025
| cobble | Yes | 250 |
| bc73747 | Yes | 192.86 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 181 |
| braconier | Yes | 176.14 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 171 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 147.99 |
| jeegles | Yes | 131.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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