Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Apr 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 7.8%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 3 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 3 Apr 2024 to 30 Apr 2024, the highest close was 92.5% on 20 Apr 2024 and the lowest 7.8% on 30 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 44% on 26 Apr 2024. $37.68K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 3 Apr 2024 – 30 Apr 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Apr 2024 | 48.5% |
| 30 Apr 2024 | 7.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| iioooiii | No | 4.7K |
| shinguang | No | 2.47K |
| rousseauuu | No | 1.47K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the presiding judge in "THE PEOPLE OF THE STATE OF NEW YORK -against- DONALD J. TRUMP" explicitly states that Donald Trump has violated the gag order imposed on him by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the gag order is lifted at any point before this market's expiration date and Donald Trump has not violated it, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-violates-gag-order
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