Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83%. Yes opened at 88.5% on 17 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 90.5% on 18 Mar 2025 and the low 26.5% on 6 Apr 2025. Its largest one-day move was 56 points up, to 83% on 7 Apr 2025. $364.02K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 8, 5:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 22 points · 17 Mar 2025 – 7 Apr 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2025 | 88.5% |
| 7 Apr 2025 | 83.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gambaprem | No | 401.7 |
| MJGspice | No | 250.89 |
| Kiwi62 | No | 181.82 |
| Unwitting-Icecream | No | 111.11 |
| BabyYoda12 | No | 100 |
| Takino | No | 66.67 |
| hatemyself | No | 51.31 |
| batmaev | No | 10.53 |
| Botex | No | 10 |
| Liberpol | No | 9.09 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherwise takes any formal action which is aimed at restricting or banning travel to the United States from specific countries by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any qualifying government action will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the policy is enacted. However, announcements of future or planned bans will not alone qualify. Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-travel-ban-before-may
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