Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Oct 2025.
$36.4K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 24 Oct 2025, chart shows 72%–84%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | 77.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| coinfun | No | 3.9K |
| JeanMassturbain | No | 1K |
| FabulousCar | No | 713.13 |
| Legend- | No | 149.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 134 |
| pissmisslepete | No | 86 |
| MrFlower | No | 79.12 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 61 |
| runner777 | No | 31.6 |
| chaosbull | No | 28.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US armed forces conduct a strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target in the North Western hemisphere between October 22, 2025, 6:00 PM ET, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-strikes-another-drug-boat-by-oct-31-885
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