Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2024.
$24.9K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 6:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 17 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2024 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mikeeey | Yes | 39.15 |
| someonewithaname | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is a speaker on Day 2 (July 16 CDT) of the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly speaks from the main stage of the convention. He must speak while physically present on the stage for this market to resolve to "Yes". Simply appearing on the main stage of the convention floor will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually speak.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-speaks-on-rnc-day-2
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